11-25-05 [poker]Ugh. I made one of my own least favorite mistakes - semibluffing when you know the guy won't fold.
chukb posts small blind (10) squashball posts big blind (15) ** Dealing down cards ** Dealt to chukb [ Ac, Ts ] frostyjfk folds. samba31 folds. Snelliest folds. yockey21 calls (15) thejanitor7 calls (15) BigandHairy1 calls (15) marathon222 calls (15) up_and_down1 calls (15) chukb raises (90) to 100 (these guys are real loose limpers and very aggressive raisers with any decent hand; the AT is almost certainly best here and I'd like to just raise and take the hand down from the SB; the cautious play would have been to just call and wait to make my hand, if I hit an ace I'm most likely good and can try to just win a small pot). squashball calls (85) yockey21 folds. thejanitor7 calls (85) BigandHairy1 calls (85) marathon222 folds. up_and_down1 folds. ** Dealing Flop ** : [ 7c, 5c, Jc ] chukb bets (200) (I flop the nut flush draw. The jack scares me because the hands they call with likely include a jack - QJ, KJ, TJ, things like that. I was thinking I'll go ahead and bet and define my hand, if they don't have a jack, I might just take it, if they do have a jack, I'm still on the nut flush draw.) squashball folds. thejanitor7 raises (400) to 400 (min raise, I'm thinking he has the jack. In retrospect I suppose the jack might have moved in to defend against the draw. The min raise could also be the Kc or possibly a set like 55 or 77.) BigandHairy1 folds. chukb raises (985) to 1185 chukb is all-In. (I can't fold here, I'm thinking I have at least 9 outs and probably 12 outs, so I'd have to call 200 to win a pot that would be 1230, which means I only need to be 16% for a call to be right. If I just call I'd have 785 left. I decide to go ahead and push into a guy who can't fold a better hand.). thejanitor7 calls (510) thejanitor7 is all-In. ** Dealing Turn ** : [ 9h ] ** Dealing River ** : [ Th ] thejanitor7 show [ Tc Qc ] [ a flush, queen high -- Qc,Jc,Tc,7c,5c ]
So, he flopped the flush and I was drawing to 7 outs. Now, there's no way I could know he flopped the flush, and of course he made an absolute rotten call preflop with QTs. Still, I made some pretty huge mistakes in this hand. On the flop, there's no need for me to lead out. I should just check and see what happens. Then if there's action, there's no need to semibluff. Anyone betting has at least a jack and will probably not fold to an allin (these guys are loose, there's no way they fold like a QJ here). So, I have to just hope the bet is small and I should just call and take another card off if the odds are right. I was frustrated that I got called by a bunch of worse hands preflop and that made me get overly attached to the nut flush draw.