11-12-05 [poker]Here's another old hand. This is sort of interesting, because it's about how the odds are affected by hands people might have.
***** Hand History for Game 3002739247 ***** 30/60 Tourney Texas Hold'em Game Table (NL) (Tournament 17240452) - Tue Nov 08 13:28:19 EST 2005 Table 2 - Table(509831) Table 2 (Real Money) -- Seat 6 is the button Total number of players : 6 Seat 1: timm_ (1800) Seat 2: nolgrtrkr (635) Seat 3: so_standard (855) Seat 6: chukb (1235) Seat 8: SADHP (2145) Seat 9: r821546 (3330) SADHP posts small blind (15) r821546 posts big blind (30) ** Dealing down cards ** Dealt to chukb [ Ac, Kc ] timm_ folds. nolgrtrkr raises (125) to 125 so_standard calls (125) chukb raises (1000) to 1000 SADHP folds. r821546 folds. nolgrtrkr calls (510) nolgrtrkr is all-In. so_standard folds. Creating Main Pot with $1440 with nolgrtrkr ** Dealing Flop ** : [ 5h, 3s, 3c ] ** Dealing Turn ** : [ 3d ] ** Dealing River ** : [ 8d ] ** Summary ** Main Pot: 1440 | Side Pot 1: 365 Board: [ 5h 3s 3c 3d 8d ] nolgrtrkr balance 1440, bet 635, collected 1440, net +805 [ Qh Qc ] [ a full house, Threes full of queens -- Qh,Qc,3s,3c,3d ] chukb balance 600, bet 1000, collected 365, lost -635 [ Ac Kc ] [ three of a kind, threes -- Ac,Kc,3s,3c,3d ]
We have a guy early who comes in for a 4x raise. That's surely a pair or a good ace. The next guy just calls. Again surely a pair or good ace, possibly KQ or QJ. I look down and find AKs. In the game, I push in here, because this was just a day after I folded AKs like a moron so I'm damn well not folding AKs. However, I think I made a big mistake here. I think probably the best play here is just calling. Usually I hate just calling with AK, but here I think it's right. If they both have pairs - that's good for me. If one has a pair and one has an ace, the pair is a big favorite, especially if the guy with the ace folds. Instead of having a 45% shot to win, I only have a 33% shot. If I just call, I can see the flop and if there's an Ace or King, I'm in good shape, if not I can get out.