11-12-05 [poker]Most of the hands that I save as "troubling" are in fact pretty obvious when I go back and look at them again. Here's a typical example -
20/40 Tourney Texas Hold'em Game Table (NL) (Tournament 17294387) - Thu Nov 10 12:45:54 EST 2005 Table Multi-Table(509675) Table 38 (Real Money) -- Seat 1 is the button Total number of players : 9 Seat 1: steeler535 (900) Seat 2: schwatzz7 (2050) Seat 3: cliffnotes14 (990) Seat 4: decatur247 (420) Seat 5: chukb (785) Seat 6: RMangham (2685) Seat 7: ukfan20 (1315) Seat 9: Bgworm68222 (345) Seat 10: Benini747 (1975) schwatzz7 posts small blind (10) cliffnotes14 posts big blind (20) ** Dealing down cards ** Dealt to chukb [ Jd, Ac ] decatur247 folds. chukb raises (50) to 50 RMangham calls (50) ukfan20 folds. Bgworm68222 raises (345) to 345 Bgworm68222 is all-In. Benini747 folds. steeler535 calls (345) schwatzz7 folds. cliffnotes14 folds. chukb folds. RMangham folds. Creating Main Pot with $820 with Bgworm68222 Board: [ 9h 4s 9c 3s 5h ] steeler535 balance 555, lost 345 [ Ks Qs ] [ a pair of nines -- Ks,Qs,9h,9c,5h ] Bgworm68222 balance 820, bet 345, collected 820, net +475 [ Ah 7h ] [ a pair of nines with ace kicker -- Ah,9h,9c,7h,5hAh(kicker card) ]
This is very early in a multi-table tourney, the blinds are still tiny. "steeler525" has just been moved to the table so I don't have a good read on him. "Bgworm68222" is a fish - if it was just him, I'd have called. I make a standard open raise with AJ, one short stack comes ott allin, and a moderate stack cold calls him. That sets off alarms in my head, he must have a big hand, so I fold. Turns out I had the best hand and would have taken a nice pot. At the time I started going "gosh, should I have called?". No, of course not, just because calling was the right move here doesn't mean calling here is good in general. In this situation I have to assume "steeler525" at least has a higher ace or a pocket pair like TT or better, so I'd be racing with bad odds.